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Prediction of design typhoon wind speeds and profiles using refined typhoon wind field model

机译:使用精确的台风风场模型预测设计台风风速和剖面

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摘要

For buildings and structures in typhoon regions, they must be designed to withstand typhoon winds during their design lives. The determination of design typhoon wind speed for a structure within a given design life thus becomes an imperative task. A refined typhoon wind field model considering the influence of temperature and the variation of central pressure difference with height has been recently proposed by the authors. This paper aims to use this refined typhoon wind field model together with the Monte Carlo simulation and the typhoon wind decay model for predicting design typhoon wind speeds and profiles based on 60-year typhoon wind field data recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory. Both directional and non-directional design wind speeds of 50-year return period predicted by the refined typhoon wind field model, the Meng model and the Shapiro model for the Waglan Island of Hong Kong are compared with the statistical ones directly from the wind measurement data recorded by the anemometers installed on the Waglan Island. Averaged mean wind speed profiles at the Waglan Island predicted by the refined typhoon wind field model and the Meng model are also computed and compared with field measurement data available. The results show that the refined typhoon wind field model could predict design typhoon wind speeds and averaged wind profiles satisfactorily.
机译:对于台风地区的建筑物和结构,必须将其设计为在设计寿命中承受台风。因此,确定给定设计寿命内结构的设计台风风速成为当务之急。作者最近提出了一种考虑温度和中心压力差随高度变化的精确台风风场模型。本文旨在将这种改进的台风风场模型与蒙特卡罗模拟和台风风衰模型结合起来,根据香港天文台记录的60年台风风场数据来预测设计台风风速和剖面。根据香港的横澜岛的精确台风风场模型,Meng模型和Shapiro模型预测的50年回归期的定向和非定向设计风速与直接从测风数据得到的统计风速进行比较由安装在横澜岛上的风速计记录。还计算了由精确的台风风场模型和Meng模型预测的横澜岛的平均风速分布,并将其与可用的现场测量数据进行比较。结果表明,改进的台风风场模型可以较好地预测设计台风风速和平均风廓线。

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